Ever since I could think of such things, I've always had it in the back of my mind: Social Security won't be there for me when I retire. This is a concern for us poor college students who see hundreds of hard-earned dollars flowing out of our paychecks and into the Social Security Trust Fund.
This is because "Social Security Trust Fund" is a misnomer, the product of an elaborate accounting trick. It is not a trust fund in any way, but more of a generational robbery. How the system has worked since we have drawn breath is thus: Money comes in from working Americans and then part of it is funneled into paying seniors their stipends.
In other words, we have a government-mandated Ponzi scheme.
The system leaves some leftovers, or at least has since it was changed in 1983. These leftovers now are put into U.S. government bonds, helping fund some of the deficit spending the government makes on other endeavors. With that system, Social Security funds can make the government feel like it is being responsible and keeping the deficit down when, in actuality, it is spending money earmarked for senior citizens in other ways.
It all works out fine as long as the Social Security payroll taxes bring in more than the Social Security Administration spends, but the latest Congressional Budget Office predictions show the SSA running cash deficits as soon as next year. Then, the predictions give Social Security a temporary surplus from 2012 to 2015, thanks to a predicted increase in revenue of - get this - 6.19 percent in 2012, 5.69 percent in 2013 and 4.59 percent in 2014.
Let's put that in perspective: The revenue for 2009 is projected to decrease by .08 percent. To give you an idea of how ridiculous that is, from 1997 to 2007 the U.S. gross domestic product per capita has increased on average 1.8 percent per year. Assuming that that GDP increase translates directly into wage increases, that would still be an overestimate of the haul from Social Security taxes, because Social Security only taxes the first $102,000 of each employee's paycheck, but nothing on the rest.
In order to see 6.19-percent growth the CBO has predicted, we need to see the economy grow at a rate of more than three times than it has during the past decade. I find it a little hard to imagine that right now.
Now, if the CBO is being a little too optimistic, that means Social Security will be running a cash deficit from next year until the end of time. The federal government will get to move Social Security over from the black to the red and the deficit will slowly start reflecting the real values and very real problems our government has with fiscal responsibility.
We have a nation that is aging as baby boomers near retirement, and Social Security is going to start running a cash deficit next year. Sounds like great fun, doesn't it?
Just last year, the CBO reported Social Security would stay in the black for another decade. Now the old CBO director is in the Obama administration as the budget director, making his fantasy world the official Obama administration "reality," and the CBO has come back down to earth.
These days are hard times with the financial strain from last year's crisis. Social Security is about to go into the toilet and what is our wonderful federal government doing? Debating health care.
It is about time the government started fixing their mistakes with quagmires like Social Security rather than creating new problems.
I'd like to be able to afford food after I retire. How about you?
-Frank Male is a senior in physics and political science. Please send comments to opinion@spub.ksu.edu.



When I appeared on CNN with Lou Waters on September 27, 2000, he referred to me as "a voice crying in the wilderness." I have continued to be such a voice ever since. I am desperately seeking the help of others in my crusade to alert the public to the great Social Security fraud. Please visit my website at thebiglie.net and consider helping to spread this crucial message. Allen W. Smith, Ph.D.
Professor of Economics Emeritus
Eastern Illinois University
Website: thebiglie.net